In the first
week in January, over a quarter of patients in Accident and Emergency waited
longer than four hours and only one hospital met the target of treating 95% of
patients within 4 hours, a leaked report to the BBC showed (1). More than ten
hospitals issued mayor alerts that they were under “unprecedented pressures”, while
66 out of 152 trusts raised the alarm over bed shortages in the same period (2)
January has
always been one of the busiest months for the NHS, cold weather always
aggravates chronic health conditions, such as respiratory and heart conditions,
and icy conditions can cause falls and broken bones, and it is flu season. This
year has seen one of the busiest Januarys that people can remember, but this
wasn’t without warning. The A&E targets were missed throughout all of last
winter (3).
Our
government has been slow to act though. Theresa May only admitted that the NHS
under pressure yesterday afternoon (Friday 13th) (4), previously
she’d avoided saying anything. Jeremy Hunt did make a statement to parliament
on Monday, January 9th, but it was a very typical Jeremy Hunt
statement (5), slow on any actual help. In it he claimed that the 4 hour
waiting time target could be reviewed and only apply to “urgent” patients, and
that 30% of people attending A&E “do not need to be there”.
Now we have a
new policy change from Theresa May to deal with this whole NHS crisis, but this
new policy has left me feeling, what?
Theresa May
says she’ll force GP Practices to open 8am to 8pm, seven days a week (6). If
they do not do so they could lose extra funding that they deeply need. But will
this relieve any of the pressures on hospital A&Es?
The reality
is this will not provide any extra GP appointments because this isn’t employing
anymore GPs, (Already there are over 4,600 empty GP posts, 12% of the workforce
(7)), it is just stretching the current number of GP appointments over seven
days instead of five. The reality will see less GP appointments during the
week, and will there even be a demand for all these weekend appointments? A BMJ
survey from November 2015 found only 2.2% of patients would choice to see their
GP at the weekend (8). Also, with all these extra bookable appointments to
cover GP Practices will not be able to offer as many emergency appointments. If
people cannot get an emergency GP appointment where will they go? A&E?
Also, will
these weekend GP appointments prevent all these people who need admitting to
hospital? How can GPs manage at home people who need hospital admission? How
will these GP appointments prevent the chest infections, the pneumonias, the
chest pains, the broken bones that all need admitting to hospital? How will
these GP appointments provide the extra social care that is needed to allow
patients to be safely discharged home?
This crisis
is due to a shortage of hospital beds, there are less than half the number of
hospital
beds than there was 1978 (9), we have the second lowest number of beds
per head of population of European countries (10), and these beds are filling
up with patients who cannot be safely discharged. Social services budgets have
been cut by 40% since 2010 (11), which has left social care in a dangerously
underfunded state. It can just about fund the people it already cares for,
there is little to no spare funding for new people, for home care or
residential/nursing home care. This lack of funding has created a bottleneck in
hospitals. There is a large number of elderly patients who cannot be safely
discharged home because they need social care and there is no funding for them.
It is also creating another problem, there are elderly people at home who need
social care and are not receiving it. Because they are not receiving it their
health is deteriorating and soon they will need admitting to hospital, but
there are not the beds available.
Helen
Stokes-Lampard, chair of the Royal College of GPs Council, has said general
practice is "skating on thin ice" (12). The cut in resources in
General Practice and the low numbers of GPs means that people with non urgent
problems are waiting four weeks or longer for a GP appointment. In this time a
non urgent problem can soon become an urgent problem, a problem that could
easily no longer be treatable in a GP surgery. The government’s plan will only
add to this problem.
This crisis
is down to funding, or the lack of funding of the NHS. Simon Stevens, chief
executive of NHS England, described it as, “In the here and now, there are very
real pressures. Over the next three years funding is going to be highly
constrained and in real-terms NHS spending per person in England is going to go
down, 10 years after Lehman Brothers and austerity began.” (13)
88% of acute
trusts are forecasting a deficit at the end of this financial year (14). Demand
on NHS services has increased by 3-4% on last year (14a), much higher than the
current inflation rate, which is 1.2% (15), yet the NHS’s funding is only
increasing 0.9% a year (16), and this doesn’t take into account the £22 billion
of “efficiency” savings the Department of Health is demanding from the NHS by
2021 (17).
This crisis
is due to funding and resources cuts and yet the government reacts by almost
bullying GP Practices into working seven days a week, without any extra funding.
Our NHS is on its knees and this government is still demanding more for less from
it. They are not taking responsibility for the mess they have created and they
are doing nothing to sort it out. They are offering no leadership in this
crisis.
In November
last year I was admitted to hospital with pneumonia, this was not because I
couldn’t get a GP appointment. My GP had been treating my pneumonia but,
because I had caught an antibiotic resident strain, my GP soon reached the end
of the treatment options open to him. He had me admitted to hospital because I
was too ill to be safely treated at home. How would a Sunday afternoon GP
appointment have prevented this?
So where the
hell did the government come up with such a useless policy in the fist place? A
crowing article in today’s Daily Mail may give the clue, its titled “Open all hours, PM orders GPs: After the Mail exposes
half-day surgeries, doctors are told to open from 8am-8pm - or lose cash”
(18). Again we see the emergence of that dangerous Government move, policy creation
by Daily Main headline. Our politicians are being dictated to by the worst
newspaper in the country.
Theresa May
has shown that the NHS is a very low priority to her, otherwise why did she
leave Hunt in post as Health Minister, and her reaction to this very avoidable
crisis only is further proof of this. How will bullying GPs solve the shortage
of available NHS beds? Who the hell voted for her?… Oh yes, no one.
Drew Payne